A decade from now, the average UK home will only require a broadband connection of 19 Mb, according to a governmental advisory group which claims that just one per cent of households will require download speeds of 35 Mb in 2023.
The study from the Broadband Stakeholder Group (BSG), which advises the coalition on broadband matters, suggests that the current target to provide 95 per cent of the UK with superfast 25 Mb broadband by 2017 will be more than enough to satisfy the needs of most consumers.
When compiling the study, the BSG took into account a number of factors, including the average number of people in each household, the development of compression technology, and anticipated technological innovations.
It concluded that half of households will only have a demand of 19 Mb by 2023, with around ten per cent requiring 30 Mb broadband (the EU's 2020 target for member states) and just one per cent requiring 35 Mb or over.
"A 2023 median demand of 19 Mb may seem low, but needs to be seen in the context of the continuing benefits of video compression, and the fact that 64 per cent of households only contain one or two people," the report states.
"Consider two people both surfing, both watching their own HD TV stream while each having a video call. Even this rather aggressive (and rare) use case only requires 15 Mb in 2023."
The report does include a number of variables, including the average amount of time that it expects people will be willing to wait to download certain files and films or take part in online gaming.
With the Xbox One and PlayStation 4 preparing to launch, the pressure on networks is expected to increase dramatically, while 4K TV is also set to boost network demand over the coming years.
However, even when accounting for the widespread adoption of 4K TV, as one model in the report does, it notes that 99 per cent of UK homes would be more than happy with 71 Mb broadband a decade from now - something that seems well within the possibilities offered by the country's superfast broadband rollout.